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Home World

What are spy balloons? And why could they play a key role in the future of aerial reconnaissance?

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03.02.2023
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What are spy balloons?  And why could they play a key role in the future of aerial reconnaissance?
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In an age when orbital satellites are so advanced they are able to distinguish objects half the size of cars from space, a spy balloon might seem like a bit of a relic.

They were a prominent reconnaissance tool during the Cold War and were even used in a more basic form for intelligence gathering during the Napoleonic Wars over 200 years ago.

But security experts say the balloons are just the “tip of a revolution” in the development and use of new high-altitude surveillance gear, with the UK even investing millions in a spy balloon development project last year.

It comes as the US military said on Friday it was tracking a suspect Chinese spy balloon that has flown over northwest America in recent days.

Picture:
A high-altitude balloon floats over Billings, Montana

Read more:
Chinese spy balloon flies over US airspace, Pentagon says

A senior defense official said that WE has “very high confidence” that it is a high-altitude Chinese balloon and that it was flying over sensitive sites to gather information, while China did not immediately deny that the balloon belonged to them.

What are spy balloons?

The devices are lightweight balloons, filled with gas, usually helium, and attached to spy equipment such as a long-range camera.

They can be launched from the ground and are sent into the air where they can reach heights between 60,000 feet (18,000 m) and 150,000 feet (45,000 m), above the flight paths of commercial aircraft in an area known as “near space”. “.

Once in the air, they travel using a mixture of air currents and pockets of pressurized air, which can act as a form of direction.

Why are they still useful in the age of satellites?

According to defense and security analyst Professor Michael Clarke, the biggest advantage of spy balloons over satellites is that they can survey an area over a longer period of time.

Sky News' Defense Analyst, Professor Michael Clarke
Picture:
Professor Michael Clarke

“The advantage is that they can stay in one place for a long time,” he told Sky News.

“Because of the way the Earth rotates, unless one satellite is over the equator, you need three to five satellites going all the time to track the same location.

“These balloons are also relatively cheap and much easier to launch than a satellite.”

Will balloons continue to be used for espionage in the future?

Absolutely, according to Professor Clarke.

Despite the wide use of satellite technology, countries like the UK are also focusing on the development and use of spy gear to operate in the upper atmosphere.

In August it was announced Department of Defense had struck a £100million deal with US defense firm Sierra Nevada to supply high-altitude unmanned balloons to be used for surveillance and reconnaissance.

Professor Clarke said: “(These balloons) are the cutting edge for passive aircraft in the upper atmosphere.”

He said other defense companies, such as BAE, were working on ultralight solar-powered drones capable of operating in the upper atmosphere and staying in place for up to 20 months.

Why is China using them now?

According to Professor Clarke, the use of these balloons, if indeed they were launched by China, would probably have been a message to the United States following its decision to open new military bases in the Philippines.

“I think it’s a challenge,” he said.

“They (China) are signaling that if the United States gets closer to them, they will be more aggressive in their surveillance.

“It also poses a political problem in the United States now, because it will be seen as a sign of weakness not to bring it down.

“It causes some embarrassment, but the United States does not need to react.”

The balloon was spotted over Billings, Montana, Wednesday – near one of three US nuclear missile silo fields at Malmstrom Air Force Base.

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0:19

Mao Ning, spokesman for China’s foreign ministry, said those involved should have a ‘cool head’

The army and defense chiefs said they were considering firing the balloon from the sky, but decided against it due to the security risk of falling debris.

Professor Clarke added: “I think the debris problem is a bit of an excuse. It was over one of the least densely populated areas in the United States and if they needed it they would have could ask everyone to stay inside.

“I don’t think they wanted to make it a bigger issue because China is challenging them to take it down and make it an international issue.”

Spy balloon threatens efforts to appease US-China relations

Mistrust between Chinese and Americans is as high as it has been for decades.

An incident like this would serve to fuel that mistrust no matter when it happened, but to occur, as it did, just days before Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s all-important visit to Beijing could seriously undermine the timid efforts on both sides to try to stop any further deterioration in relations.

Mr Blinken is expected to land in Beijing on Sunday and had planned to meet his counterpart Qin Gang as well as Wang Yi, China’s top diplomat.

A tremendous amount of painstaking diplomatic effort will have gone into making such a visit possible – for this to happen is progress of some sort.

In recent days, it has even been suggested that Mr Blinken could meet President Xi Jinping himself.

If so, he would be the first US Secretary of State to be granted this level of access in five years and it would be a major sign that both sides are seriously considering trying to mend their deeply damaged relationship.

China’s leader and US President Joe Biden both acknowledged when they met at the G20 summit late last year that they needed to do more to ensure their distrust and competition did not escalate into conflict. and in conflict.

This visit was clearly part of that effort. But mutual recognition that spiraling tensions is not a good thing is not the same as actively rebuilding trust.

This incident will likely be seen by Americans as running counter to both. And there is, perhaps, an awareness here in Beijing of the danger this incident poses to these nascent efforts.

Indeed, at a regular press conference in Beijing on Friday, there was a clear desire on the Chinese side to contain speculation.

Foreign Ministry spokesman Mao Ning said China was “checking” the situation and added, “I would like to stress that until the facts are clarified, speculation and hype will not be allowed. of no use in properly solving the problem”.

Given the weak ebb in current relations between the two, Mr. Blinken’s visit was unlikely to bring a breakthrough. It was more of a chance for both sides to reaffirm their positions and red lines and keep the channels of dialogue open.

Whether this spy balloon was deliberately timed before the visit or just bad timing will likely never be known, but if it forces Mr. Blinken to cancel, the ramifications for the longer-term project to contain the deterioration of relations could be very serious.

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